Thursday, May 19, 2011

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According to a leaked marketing survey, three images are in contention to be the box art for Square Enix's recently revealed Hitman: Absolution.


Apparently, these pieces were created before the official subtitle was decided, because they all say  "Subtitle" instead of "Absolution." I should also point out that all of the covers have the PEGI rating (basically the European ESRB), so we may never see these designs on our shores.


I've posted my favorite of the images below, but you check out the other two over at Kotaku.



(Source: Kotaku)


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Katie Couric Signs Off &#39;CBS Evening <b>News</b>&#39; – Deadline.com

Below is video of Katie Couric's final minutes as anchor of CBS Evening News. Her last broadcast was today. There is speculation that Couric has reached a deal with ABC for a syndicated talk show, which CBS had the right to match. ...

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Wednesday, May 18, 2011

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Despite declarations of love for Maria Shriver and hopes for reconciliation, the mistresses are beginning to surface. The Mirror pointed out today that Arnold Schwarzenegger ‘mistress’ denies causing marriage break-up. The article sounds a lot like those we read during the Tiger Woods mess. But there is one very big difference. When the disintegration of marriage is all over of the news, babies do not hear the gossip. In this case there are four grown children. And one child is front and center in a Tinseltown tidbit, but Gossip Cop assures us that Patrick is not dating Miley Cyrus.


As we have seen with all of the high profile infidelity cases with older children, gossip not only hampers reconciliation, but it strains the children. In this case the children are: Katherine Eunice born in 1989, Christina Maria Aurelia, born in 1991, Patrick, in 1993, and Christopher in 1997.


The headlines are blaring. The 2011 Pulitzer Prize winning Chicago Sun Times noted: “Sources close to the spouses say the collapse of the marriage was caused by multiple allegations of the aging action star’s marital infidelities. . .” Schwarzenegger infidelity allegations key to collapse of marriage …


The Mirror said that there appeared to be a principle mistresses who shattered the marriage, but she claims she was just one of many.


Read more…







9 Responses to “Did Watts’ surfacestations.org paper show that surface temperature trends are unreliable? No.”





  1. Peter Risdon Says:


    May 16, 2011 at 2:40 pm | Reply

    The paragraph you quoted from ends with this sentence:


    “According to the best-sited stations, the diurnal temperature range in the lower 48 states has no century-scale trend.”


    That was a surprise given the tenor of this post: “… maybe this is the end to questions as to whether surface temperature increases actually exist.”


    Did you mean that we can now say the answer to that is that surface temperature increases do not exist? Or that, pace Keenan in the WSJ, the data do not contain statistically significant trends?




    • andyrussell Says:


      May 16, 2011 at 2:58 pm | Reply

      I don’t think diurnal temperature range is very important. Do you?


      What’s more, the “century-scale” bit covers some interesting detail. Before Fall et al., it seems that the only work on diurnal temperature range showed a negative trend from the mid-century to 1980s-ish. What Fall et al. found was that this has increased again since the 1980s. So there’s no “century-scale trend”.


      But that tells you very little about mean surface temperature trends.




      • Mark Says:


        May 17, 2011 at 10:45 pm

        I have heard it claimed that the reduction in diurnal temperature range over the past few decades provides evidence that GHG increases are responsible for the warming. In that sense, some people think diurnal temperature range is important.


        Incidentally, I don’t think Fall et al. were the first to find that DTR has increased since the 1980s. I read a paper that said much the same thing a few years ago.


        Sorry for the lack of references to back up these statements. I’m a little too busy at the moment to chase them up.




      • andyrussell Says:


        May 18, 2011 at 8:43 am

        Ok, so I’m probably not giving DTR as much significance as it deserves.


        My point is that I don’t really care about DTR. I don’t think I know anyone who has a particular interest in DTR. If this paper had been published by anyone else I wouldn’t have looked at it. It’s not very interesting. It’s just another paper on climate observations that fits in with the “consensus view of climate change” or however you want to put it. That’s useful, but not to me or most people.


        If, however, the paper had shown what Watts has been saying it would show for quite a while now (i.e. that the postitive temperature trend in the surface station record in the US was an artefact of poor station siting) then that would have been very interesting. To me and to many other people.


        But it didn’t.






    • Ben Says:


      May 16, 2011 at 4:49 pm | Reply

      So Peter… If the diurnal high and the diurnal low both rise by 1°C, you think this means there has been no warming? After-all, the diurnal range hasn’t changed! Others might draw a different conclusion.






  2. Peter Risdon Says:


    May 17, 2011 at 8:26 am | Reply

    I understand diurnal range has significance, and the relationship between day and night time temperature ranges is important, especially with regard to the period 1950 to 1980 when the effect of man-made global warming, it has been argued, was masked by a cooling but revealed by the changes in the relationship between these ranges.


    I further understand that this argument is based on the idea that human pollution caused this daytime cooling, that it affected the range of day time temperatures as well as the difference between night time temperatures which continued to show warming, and daytime ones that didn’t. This makes day time temperature range significant: if this is right it would be expected to show a variation that correlates with human activity.


    But this isn’t my field; I’m just reading what I can in an attempt to understand as much as possible about an important issue and, for me at least, that means reading Watts and reading this blog. Just searching out stuff you’re already disposed to accept isn’t good enough. My comment was prompted by what struck me as a somewhat partial quotation and exasperation: I’m with Feynman when he said you should point out the problems with a theory, not just the things that support it.


    [It's not really a "partial quotation" is it? That sentence you are interested in is stuck on the end of the abstract as a new paragraph and isn't really related to the 2 sentences I quote and which are related to the subject of this post. I'm not really interested in DTR and I doubt Watts was either. - AR]


    At least Watts invites people with different views to post on his blog and has been at the forefront of attempts to cross the ideological divide, not least with Judith Curry.


    Ben, of course you’re right. Andy, a century is an arbitrary scale, of course.


    I’d still be interested in your take on statistical significance.




    • JMurphy Says:


      May 17, 2011 at 12:05 pm | Reply

      In what way has Watts atempted to cross “the ideological divide” ?




    • Ben Says:


      May 17, 2011 at 3:16 pm | Reply

      Peter, I encourage a critical (i.e. thoughtful) reading of Anthony’s blog but my god do you really think he’s “at the forefront of attempts to cross the ideological divide”? Anthony has done more to harden denialist thought than anyone, with the possible exception Marc Morano.


      The “different views” he solicits are unthreatening fig-leaves.




    • andyrussell Says:


      May 17, 2011 at 3:24 pm | Reply

      I’ve got no problem with most of what Keenan says, although he’s not the first/only person to be saying these things. There’s a JoC paper from 2010 and it was one of the useful points to come out of the UEA email enquiries (i.e. working more with stats people). Not sure where the funding was supposed to come from for these new people though!


      I suppose the bigger problem comes down to climate science covering so much stuff – you can’t just look at problems from a stats/dynamics/modelling/chemistry/radiation/whatever perspective for too long before a) not getting very far or b) needing to doing something you’ve not done before.









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Air Force One Executes Missed Approach in Connecticut with <b>...</b>

Air Force One executed a missed approach on its first attempt to land today at Bradley Field in Connecticut, circling the airport before making a successful landing on the second try. Political Punch Blog.

Greg Mankiw&#39;s Blog: Good <b>News</b>

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Secret Service Official Twitter Account Bashes Fox <b>News</b> - Gawker

It's almost too good to be true, but the tweet above apparently briefly appeared on the official Secret Service Twitter account.

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Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Surface Encounters on the subject of quartz and online business

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    none1111
    said...



    A 3%/year increase in students would not normally be a problem

    Yes it would. This isn't a math problem, where you can just add 3% capacity to each school every year.

    Even in the best scenarios, the fixes are very "sticky" in nature, and involve a lot of students, families, money and questions. Capacity doesn't get added in 3% increments. It requires opening new schools, each of which requires drawing new boundaries (w/domino effects), forcibly moving families, snuffing kids' friendships, changing access to special programs, you name it.

    Also, will the new students arrive with equal distribution around the city? 3% more at each school over each of the next 5 years? Not hardly. There will be pockets of growth and pockets of stagnation or even decline. The lack of good demographic data led to closing schools that obviously shouldn't have been closed (okay, this is probably giving the district too much credit, but the point is valid).

    If the district is truly looking for better demographic data, that would be great news. Sadly, we're all so jaded now (myself included) that every move the administration makes is looked at with suspicion.






    5/16/11 11:44 AM










    none1111
    said...



    A 3%/year increase in students would not normally be a problem

    Yes it would. This isn't a math problem, where you can just add 3% capacity to each school every year.

    Even in the best scenarios, the fixes are very "sticky" in nature, and involve a lot of students, families, money and questions. Capacity doesn't get added in 3% increments. It requires opening new schools, each of which requires drawing new boundaries (w/domino effects), forcibly moving families, snuffing kids' friendships, changing access to special programs, you name it.

    Also, will the new students arrive with equal distribution around the city? 3% more at each school over each of the next 5 years? Not hardly. There will be pockets of growth and pockets of stagnation or even decline. The lack of good demographic data led to closing schools that obviously shouldn't have been closed (okay, this is probably giving the district too much credit, but the point is valid).

    If the district is truly looking for better demographic data, that would be great news. Sadly, we're all so jaded now (myself included) that every move the administration makes is looked at with suspicion.






    5/16/11 11:44 AM










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